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Wednesday, November 10, 2010

The Numbers Are In!

So, this is it.  Down to the final race in the 2010 Formula One season.  With the Constructor's Title in the bag at Red Bull Racing, the Driver's Title is still up for grabs.   Even if you are not a fan of the sport, I reckon that you tune in.  It is going to be one hell of a race! 

With one race left, there are still four men in contention for the 2010 World Driver's Champion title.  After much calculation, by someone else, I was able to put the numbers together and give a break down of what needs to be done for each driver to win. 

Driver's points to date:
Fernando Alonso,  Ferrari,  246 
Mark Webber,  Red Bull Racing,  238 
Sebastian Vettel,  Red Bull Racing,  231 
Lewis Hamilton,  McLaren,  222 

2010 Formula One Points System:
1st = 25 points.
2nd = 18 points.
3rd = 15 points.
4th = 12 points.
5th = 10 points.
6th = 8 points.
7th = 6 points.
8th = 4 points.
9th = 2 points.
10th = 1 points.

For Hamilton to win WDC (247+ points)
He must win (247) -
Alonso must DNF (246) &
Webber must finish 6th (246) or lower &
Vettel must finish 3rd (246) or lower.


For Vettel to win WDC (247+ points)
If he wins (256) - Alonso must finish 5th (256) or lower & Webber must finish 2nd (256) or lower
If he's 2nd (249) - Alonso must finish 9th (248 ) or lower & Webber must finish 5th or lower (248 )

For Webber to win the WDC (247+ points)
If he wins (263) - Alonso must finish 3rd (261) or lower - Vettel can't win the WDC even if he's 2nd
If he's 2nd (256) - Alonso must finish 6th (254) or lower & Vettel must finish 4th (243) or lower
If he's 3rd (253) - Alonso must finish 7th (252) or lower & Vettel cannot finish 1st (256)
If he's 4th (250) - Alonso must finish 9th (248 ) or lower & Vettel cannot finish 1st (256)
If he's' 5th (248 ) - Alonso must finish 10th (247) or lower & Vettel cannot finish 1st (256)

For Alonso to win the WDC (247+ points)
If he wins (271) - it's all over
If he's 2nd (264) - it's still all over even if Webber finishes 1st (263)
If he's 3rd (261) - Webber has to win to beat him (263)
If he's 4th (258 ) - Webber has to win to beat him (263)
If he's 5th (256) - Webber has to win to beat him (263)
If he's 6th (254) - Webber has to win (263) or place 2nd (256) to beat him - Vettel has to win (256)
If he's 7th (252) - Webber has to podium (263, 256, 253) - Vettel has to win (256)
If he's 8th (250) - Webber has to podium (263, 256, 253)  - Vettel has to win (256)
If he's 9th (248 ) - Webber has to finish 4th (250) or better  - Vettel has to win (256)
If he's 10th (247) - Webber has to finish 5th (248 ) or better -  - Vettel must finish 2nd (249) or higher
If he DNF's (246) - Webber still has to finish 5th (248 ) or better - Vettel must finish 2nd (249) or higher

So, with the Constructor's Title already won by Red Bull Racing, who would you like to see win the Driver's title?  I know my choice.

Thanks Jack Flash for the calculations!

1 comment:

  1. Good to have these calculations at hand ;)
    I want Vettel to win the WDC, but if Webber wins I'd also be very happy :)
    BUT, I'd put my money on Alonso...

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